Financial crisis

As my last report for 2023, I wanted to hit the big issues blunt in the face—from debt and sovereign bond markets to themes on the USD, inflation, risk markets and physical gold.

The rejuvenation of gold buyers in China is explained by the slowdown in the property market, the weakness of equities and the currency, as well as low bank interest rates. Young Chinese, concerned about economic stagnation, are turning to gold as a financial refuge.

In a recessionary environment, gold has a history of statistically outperforming other assets, and could prove to be a rather interesting choice in this context.

The economic situation in Germany is deteriorating at an alarming rate. French economic indicators are showing a deterioration, characterized by a sharp contraction in activity in the last quarter. Gold in euros seems to be taking advantage of this situation.

The price of gold beats its record, both in dollars and euros. Bitcoin climbs, but remains far from its 2021 high. At the same time, the stock market is making some headway, and housing is more or less depressed across the globe. Something is going on. Aside from cyclical explanations (a slowdown in...

Even if the situation regarding private debt is not problematic at the moment, 2024 is likely to be a very different story: the wall of private debt is much harder to break through than the wall of public debt. These U.S. debt risks are the main reasons why gold prices are so high. The closer we get...

Piepenburg addresses what he perceives as the misleading debate surrounding hard versus soft landings, asserting that the evidence of a severe economic downturn is unmistakably apparent. The conversation then turns to the reality rather than hype of de-dollarization, the questioned performance of go...

Rising interest rates have led to a significant increase in the burden of public debt. The United States now has to pay over $1 trillion in interest, an amount that has doubled in just nine months. This burden is set to rise considerably further, as most of the debt is short-term, requiring refinanc...

We are on the inevitable road to perdition for the world economy & financial system, ending in a potential global conflict of uncontrollable proportions. Evil begets evil as The Cycle of Evil hits countries at the end of an uncontrollable debt expansion.

Far removed from the turmoil of the bond markets, gold continues to move ahead without the slightest speculative excess, and in a climate of general indifference.The price of gold in yens is now rising exponentially, just as it would against any currency of a country in a sovereign crisis.